SimpleFunctions
PolymarketMay 31, 202622 days left

Will Lucas Hernández record the most red cards in 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?

This contract is priced at 6¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 0¢ bid, 12¢ ask, 12¢ spread.

Implied probability

6¢
$27 volume
$27 liquidity
0% of event volume

Event outcomes

9

Family volume

$32K

Best sibling

Kim Min-Jae 0¢

Ticker

0xa053b97f…950b

Market snapshot

Lucas Hernández in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Lucas Hernández record the most red cards in 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?. The displayed quote is 6¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $27. In the UEFA Champions League: Most Red Cards family, this outcome ranks #2 of 9 by current quote across 9 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC.

Outcome

Lucas Hernández

Family rank

#2 of 9

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until May 31, 2026

Reported volume

$27

Family context

9 outcomes · UEFA Champions League: Most Red Cards

Quote range

0¢-49¢

Family leader

Robert Andrich 49¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC · 11m ago

Venue identifier: 0xa053b97fce276bb885425d0253bccef9f6b25bf3fb5b8cab3af8cd934d0a950b. Family volume: $32K.

Price history

6¢ current

44¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 16, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 12¢

Polymarket
12¢ spread
BidSize
0¢100
AskSize
12¢20
56¢11
98¢52
98¢50
99¢100
99¢78
100¢52
100¢7

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the player who records the most red cards through all main tournament rounds of the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League competition. For the purpose of this market, both direct red cards, or red cards that result from the accumulation of two yellow cards in the same match will be considered in the final count. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by UEFA Champions League rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2025-26 Champions League competition is cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

May 31, 2026

Identifier

0xa053b97f…950b

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

26399.2%

IY (No)

107.6%

Adj IY

13200%

CRI

16

Overround

-0.2%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

26399.2%
107.6%
Adj IY
13200%
16
Overround
-0.2%

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

Opinionanalysis

Information Finance Has Arrived: A Material Map of Prediction Markets in Q2 2026

Combined Kalshi + Polymarket volume hit $66B in just four months of 2026 — already greater than the entire 2025 industry total. Bernstein projects $1T by 2030. Two venues hold 95% of US share. The distribution layer fragmented across nine retail surfaces. AI agents are 30% of Polymarket wallet activ

Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Opinioncomparison

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)

Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.

Opinionanalysis

Implied Yield vs Raw Probability: Why Bond-Adjacent Prediction Markets Need a Different Lens

Why fixed-income-adjacent prediction-market contracts need to be priced in implied yield, not raw probability, with two real Kalshi Fed-decision contracts as a case study.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index