Will Deniz Undav record the most assists in the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?
Prediction markets currently give a 47% probability that Will Deniz Undav record the most assists in the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?. This contract trades at 47¢ on Polymarket, closing May 21, 2026. This market exhibits extreme illiquidity and pricing dysfunction with only $8.06 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 46¢ price unreliable for actual trading.
Analysis
This market exhibits extreme illiquidity and pricing dysfunction with only $8.06 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 46¢ price unreliable for actual trading. The 89¢ spread and astronomical implied yields (1235% for Yes, 897% for No) reflect the market's inability to establish consensus rather than genuine probability assessment. With 35 days until expiry and a realized volatility of 930%, this appears to be a speculative micro-market where the thin liquidity and high cliff risk make execution difficult and resolution uncertain.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to the player who records the most assists through all main tournament rounds of the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by UEFA Europa League rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2025-26 Europa League competition is cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Indicators
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Trade
sf trade 0xa7977fe5be185f165b9cdd58685ebd2383a0dddc4e92b7993cdbd577ebfe2f0e yes 100