Will Elliot Anderson record the most cards in 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?
Prediction markets currently give a 56% probability that Will Elliot Anderson record the most cards in 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?. This contract trades at 56¢ on Polymarket, closing May 21, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and a massive 72¢ spread, making the 56¢ price potentially unreliable for actual trading.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and a massive 72¢ spread, making the 56¢ price potentially unreliable for actual trading. The astronomical implied yields (843% for Yes, 1366% for No) reflect the thin liquidity rather than genuine edge, and with only 34 days until expiry, there's significant cliff risk as the tournament concludes and resolution approaches. The 166% realized volatility combined with minimal price movement over seven days (55¢ to 56¢) suggests the market is largely stagnant, indicating either low trader interest in predicting Anderson's disciplinary card totals or insufficient conviction among participants.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to the player who records the most disciplinary cards through all main tournament rounds of the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League competition. For the purpose of this market, a disciplinary card will count as a yellow card, a direct red card, or a red card resulting from the accumulation of two yellow cards in the same match. A 2nd yellow card accumulated in a match which results in a red card will count as one card in the final count, not a separate yellow and red card. The tally of these cards will be counted as reflected on the official UEFA Europa League website (https://www.uefa.com/uefaeuropaleague/statistics/players/disciplinary/?sortBy=red_cards&order=desc). In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by UEFA Europa League rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2025-26 Europa League competition is cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Trade
sf trade 0xa06d056e1b767b8696f9c6dee02010b07ad1bd4504ede2e080ca93e366315ba8 yes 100