Will Lukas Horníček record the most clean sheets in 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?

Prediction markets currently give a 55% probability that Will Lukas Horníček record the most clean sheets in 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?. This contract trades at 55¢ on Polymarket, closing May 21, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $22.68 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 55¢ price potentially unreliable for actual trading.

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55¢
Bid/Ask 15/94¢·Spread 79¢·Vol $0·OI $20.68·Closes May 21, 2026·26d remaining
0x42be50332d04d7ec64516b47c076734c7a15287a5847617c899451a4c060a393
7-day price1438 snapshots · 3 regime
57¢54¢ current
Apr 853¢Apr 25

Analysis

8d ago

This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $22.68 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 55¢ price potentially unreliable for actual trading. The 80¢ spread and astronomical implied yields (860% for Yes, 1285% for No) reflect the thin liquidity rather than genuine probability assessment, while the 438% realized volatility and cliff risk index of 1 indicate high uncertainty about resolution mechanics. With 35 days until expiry and an incomplete resolution rule description, this appears to be a speculative niche market where the pricing may not reflect true odds on Horníček leading the competition in clean sheets.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the goalkeeper who records the clean sheets through all main tournament rounds of the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by UEFA Europa League rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2025-26 Europa League competition is cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 1208.7%
IY (No) 1665.7%
Adj IY 0%
CRI 1
LAS 1.44
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)1208.7%
IY (No)1665.7%
Adj IY0%
CRI1
LAS1.44

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
79¢
Computed
4/25/2026, 6:50:47 AM
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/25/2026, 6:38:43 AM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x42be50332d04d7ec64516b47c076734c7a15287a5847617c899451a4c060a393 yes 100

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