Will Noah Atubolu record the most clean sheets in 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?

Prediction markets currently give a 43% probability that Will Noah Atubolu record the most clean sheets in 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?. This contract trades at 43¢ on Polymarket, closing May 21, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and a massive 85¢ spread despite only 35 days to resolution, suggesting minimal trader interest in predicting Atubolu's clean sheet performance.

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43¢
Bid/Ask /86¢·Spread 86¢·Vol $0·OI $29.12·Closes May 21, 2026·26d remaining
0xb5159d5c12bc38d966f4141429230aa8470c74545c30fc61e1662b50ea4b0300
7-day price666 snapshots · 5 regime
49¢43¢ current
Apr 840¢Apr 23

Analysis

9d ago

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and a massive 85¢ spread despite only 35 days to resolution, suggesting minimal trader interest in predicting Atubolu's clean sheet performance. The 1338% implied yield on the yes side combined with a realized volatility of 418% indicates highly unstable pricing, likely driven by the tiny $15k open interest rather than fundamental conviction about the goalkeeper's chances. With the tournament already underway and only five weeks until expiry, the 44¢ price appears potentially mispriced given that actual clean sheet data is accumulating in real-time, making this a high-risk, low-confidence market for any position.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the goalkeeper who records the clean sheets through all main tournament rounds of the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by UEFA Europa League rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2025-26 Europa League competition is cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 1890.9%
IY (No) 1076.1%
Adj IY 0%
CRI 1
RV 423%
VR 1.04
▶ Full indicator table (8)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)1890.9%
IY (No)1076.1%
Adj IY0%
CRI1
RV423%
VR1.04
IAR1.6/h
LAS2.00

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
86¢
Computed
4/25/2026, 10:02:20 AM
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/25/2026, 9:53:44 AM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0xb5159d5c12bc38d966f4141429230aa8470c74545c30fc61e1662b50ea4b0300 yes 100

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