Will Mohamed Diomande record the most red cards in 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?

This market shows extreme illiquidity and volatility with zero 24-hour volume despite $25.5k open interest and a massive 68¢ spread, suggesting the 49¢ price may not reflect true consensus. The astronomical implied yields (1237% for Yes) are artifacts of the tiny position sizes and wide bid-ask gap rather than genuine opportunity, compounded by the market's neutral regime and 880% realized volatility indicating price swings driven by minimal order flow. With 31 days to expiry and a Cliff Risk Index of 1, this appears to be a speculative niche market where the sharp 10¢ price decline over seven days likely reflects position unwinding rather than fundamental information about Diomande's red card likelihood.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the player who records the most red cards through all main tournament rounds of the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League competition. For the purpose of this market, both direct red cards, or red cards that result from the accumulation of two yellow cards in the same match will be considered in the final count. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by UEFA Europa League rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2025-26 Europa League competition is cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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