Will Nottingham Forest reach the UEFA Europa League final?

This market displays extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite $7.4M open interest, suggesting the $7K figure may reflect stale positions rather than active trading. The 38¢ price implies a 38% probability for Nottingham Forest reaching the Europa League final, but the astronomical 3,041.8% implied yield on "Yes" indicates severe mispricing or a data anomaly—such yields are typically only seen in deeply out-of-the-money options or markets with structural issues. With only 20 days to expiration and a modest 3¢ spread, the market appears frozen, making the current price unreliable for decision-making.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 UEFA Europa League final. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Europa League final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 UEFA Europa League is cancelled, postponed after June 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Europa League final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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