Will Igor Jesus score the most goals in the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?

This market shows extreme illiquidity and volatility despite modest open interest of $12.8K, with zero 24-hour volume and an unusually wide 83¢ spread indicating difficulty in price discovery. The price has declined sharply from 58¢ to 44¢ over seven days while maintaining astronomical implied yields (1338% for Yes), suggesting the market may be mispriced or suffering from thin order books rather than reflecting genuine probability shifts. With only 35 days until expiry and a realized volatility of 746%, this appears to be a speculative, low-confidence market where the extreme yield metrics are likely artifacts of illiquidity rather than genuine opportunity.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by UEFA Europa League rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2025-26 Europa League competition is cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Indicators

Regime

Trade