Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
This contract is priced at 28¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 27¢ bid, 28¢ ask, 1¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
1
Family volume
$249K
Best sibling
—
Ticker
0x4167e226…1415
Market snapshot
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027 in market context.
This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?. The displayed quote is 28¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $23K. It is currently represented as a standalone prediction-market contract. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC.
Outcome
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027
Family rank
—
Venue
Polymarket
Current quote
28¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Dec 31, 2026
24h volume
$23K
Family context
Standalone contract
Quote range
—
Family leader
—
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 10m ago
Venue identifier: 0x4167e22670f31e5f93d132f78108f3fae809bd15cadf78983eff096845ed1415. Family volume: $249K.
Price history
28¢ current
Orderbook snapshot
27 / 28¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not. Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify. The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
0x4167e226…1415
Event family
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$249K
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027 28¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
political
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