Kim Doo-kyum to win Ulsan Mayoral Election
Kim Doo-kyum is priced at 35¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 32¢ bid, 37¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 4 inside Ulsan Mayoral Election Winner.
Price history
35¢ current
−6¢Contract brief
The Ulsan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker mayors will not count. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Outcome
Kim Doo-kyum
Rank
#2 of 4
Leader
Kim Sang-wook 49¢
Range
2¢-49¢
Family volume
$83K
Identifier
0x7441be9a...fc14
May 27, 2026, 12:38 PM UTC · 28m ago
Implied probability
Bid
32¢
Ask
37¢
Spread
5¢
24h volume
$3K
Family rank
#2 of 4
4 outcomes · Ulsan Mayoral Election Winner
Closes
Jun 3, 2026
Family volume
$83K
Orderbook snapshot
32 / 37¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
The Ulsan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker mayors will not count. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jun 3, 2026
Identifier
0x7441be9a…fc14
Event family
Ulsan Mayoral Election Winner.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$83K
Outcomes
4
Highest price
Kim Sang-wook 49¢
Current share
34%
Kim Sang-wook
polymarket · 0xdeb647fdf84101019b915355e56168e6f629e2399763b2c32f86ce63476d8252
Kim Doo-kyum
polymarket · 0x7441be9aee85e1c6d85961ca75a9439c0c377f721069e0a93db018cd0220fc14
Kim Jong-hoon
polymarket · 0xac75e53e00f5cd101ad284f3c026e26593ffe4a94edfe6580927ecb336aba5b4
Park Maeng-woo
polymarket · 0xce2c66e995fb5ca83152a62d41eb9a0602d845fc3bac853164002b9c778d7f18
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.