Will the match end in a draw?
This contract is priced at 2¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 2¢ bid, 3¢ ask, 1¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
3
Family volume
$123
Best sibling
Leinster 86¢
Ticker
0x5cf005c0…fd48
Market snapshot
Draw in market context.
This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will the match end in a draw?. The displayed quote is 2¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $10. In the United Rugby Championship: Leinster vs Lions family, this outcome ranks #3 of 3 by current quote across 3 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 6:01 AM UTC.
Outcome
Draw
Family rank
#3 of 3
Venue
Polymarket
Current quote
2¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until May 16, 2026
24h volume
$10
Family context
3 outcomes · United Rugby Championship: Leinster vs Lions
Quote range
2¢-86¢
Family leader
Leinster 86¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 6:01 AM UTC · 0m ago
Venue identifier: 0x5cf005c014419cb2fb884c7ba15f456104c3323ebbef1c1e088f93991dfcfd48. Family volume: $123.
Price history
2¢ current
−44¢Orderbook snapshot
2 / 3¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 9 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome when the ball becomes dead after 80 minutes of regular play.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
May 16, 2026
Identifier
0x5cf005c0…fd48
Event family
United Rugby Championship: Leinster vs Lions.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$123
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Leinster 86¢
Current share
16%
Draw
polymarket · 0x5cf005c014419cb2fb884c7ba15f456104c3323ebbef1c1e088f93991dfcfd48
Leinster
polymarket · 0xd8fa83f0fdbaf97e107765fa612dcbdc6a7c239f581acfc8dd04fe8499547e84
Lions
polymarket · 0x520d6225eddf85aaffd00c781968f26c37fbe160c18c36f6ec30f606609dc005
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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