Will Cameron Smith finish top 10 for U.S. Open
Cameron Smith is priced at 18¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 19¢ ask, 19¢ spread. This outcome ranks #12 of 16 inside KXPGATOP10-USO26.
Price history
18¢ current
Contract brief
If Cameron Smith finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 U.S. Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Cameron Smith
Rank
#12 of 16
Leader
Bryson DeChambeau 42¢
Range
10¢-42¢
Family volume
$2K
Identifier
KXPGATOP10-USO26-CSMI
May 25, 2026, 4:08 AM UTC · 18m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
19¢
Spread
19¢
24h volume
$50
Family rank
#12 of 16
16 outcomes · KXPGATOP10-USO26
Closes
Jul 19, 2026
Family volume
$2K
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 19¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Cameron Smith finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 U.S. Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 19, 2026
Identifier
KXPGATOP10-USO26-CSMI
Event family
KXPGATOP10-USO26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$2K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Bryson DeChambeau 42¢
Current share
3%
Bryson DeChambeau
kalshi · KXPGATOP10-USO26-BDEC
Ludvig Aberg
kalshi · KXPGATOP10-USO26-LABE
Rory McIlroy
kalshi · KXPGATOP10-USO26-RMCI
Min Woo Lee
kalshi · KXPGATOP10-USO26-MLEE
Aaron Rai
kalshi · KXPGATOP10-USO26-ARAI
Chris Gotterup
kalshi · KXPGATOP10-USO26-CGOT
Justin Thomas
kalshi · KXPGATOP10-USO26-JTHO
Justin Rose
kalshi · KXPGATOP10-USO26-JROS
Wyndham Clark
kalshi · KXPGATOP10-USO26-WCLA
Xander Schauffele
kalshi · KXPGATOP10-USO26-XSCH
Akshay Bhatia
kalshi · KXPGATOP10-USO26-ABHA
Sahith Theegala
kalshi · KXPGATOP10-USO26-STHE
Cameron Smith
kalshi · KXPGATOP10-USO26-CSMI
John Keefer
kalshi · KXPGATOP10-USO26-JKEE
Jackson Herrington
kalshi · KXPGATOP10-USO26-JHER
Si Woo Kim
kalshi · KXPGATOP10-USO26-WKIM
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.