Will Justin Thomas finish top 10 for U.S. Open
Justin Thomas is priced at 25¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 10¢ bid, 24¢ ask, 14¢ spread. This outcome ranks #12 of 16 inside KXPGATOP10-USO26.
Price history
25¢ current
+20¢Contract brief
If Justin Thomas finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 U.S. Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Justin Thomas
Rank
#12 of 16
Leader
Cameron Young 42¢
Range
2¢-42¢
Family volume
$437
Identifier
KXPGATOP10-USO26-JTHO
May 27, 2026, 2:38 AM UTC · 26m ago
Implied probability
Bid
10¢
Ask
24¢
Spread
14¢
Reported volume
$7
Family rank
#12 of 16
16 outcomes · KXPGATOP10-USO26
Closes
Jul 19, 2026
Family volume
$437
Orderbook snapshot
10 / 24¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Justin Thomas finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 U.S. Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 19, 2026
Identifier
KXPGATOP10-USO26-JTHO
Event family
KXPGATOP10-USO26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$437
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Cameron Young 42¢
Current share
0%
Cameron Young
kalshi · KXPGATOP10-USO26-CAME
Rory McIlroy
kalshi · KXPGATOP10-USO26-RMCI
David Puig
kalshi · KXPGATOP10-USO26-DPUI
Alex Smalley
kalshi · KXPGATOP10-USO26-ASMA
Ludvig Aberg
kalshi · KXPGATOP10-USO26-LABE
Bryson DeChambeau
kalshi · KXPGATOP10-USO26-BDEC
Corey Conners
kalshi · KXPGATOP10-USO26-CCON
Alex Fitzpatrick
kalshi · KXPGATOP10-USO26-AFIT
Andrew Novak
kalshi · KXPGATOP10-USO26-ANOV
Wyndham Clark
kalshi · KXPGATOP10-USO26-WCLA
Jordan Spieth
kalshi · KXPGATOP10-USO26-JSPI
Min Woo Lee
kalshi · KXPGATOP10-USO26-MLEE
Justin Thomas
kalshi · KXPGATOP10-USO26-JTHO
Akshay Bhatia
kalshi · KXPGATOP10-USO26-ABHA
Aaron Rai
kalshi · KXPGATOP10-USO26-ARAI
Viktor Hovland
kalshi · KXPGATOP10-USO26-VHOV
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.