Will Cameron Smith finish top 20 for U.S. Open
Cameron Smith is priced at 29¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 12¢ bid, 22¢ ask, 10¢ spread. This outcome ranks #13 of 16 inside KXPGATOP20-USO26.
Price history
29¢ current
Contract brief
If Cameron Smith finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 U.S. Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Cameron Smith
Rank
#13 of 16
Leader
Adrien Dumont De Chassart 85¢
Range
10¢-85¢
Family volume
$291
Identifier
KXPGATOP20-USO26-CSMI
May 28, 2026, 7:38 PM UTC · 26m ago
Implied probability
Bid
12¢
Ask
22¢
Spread
10¢
Reported volume
$22
Family rank
#13 of 16
16 outcomes · KXPGATOP20-USO26
Closes
Jul 19, 2026
Family volume
$291
Orderbook snapshot
12 / 22¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Cameron Smith finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 U.S. Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 19, 2026
Identifier
KXPGATOP20-USO26-CSMI
Event family
KXPGATOP20-USO26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$291
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Adrien Dumont De Chassart 85¢
Current share
0%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-USO26-ADUM
Bryson DeChambeau
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-USO26-BDEC
Scottie Scheffler
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-USO26-SSCH
Collin Morikawa
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-USO26-CMOR
Adam Scott
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-USO26-ASCO
Patrick Reed
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-USO26-PREE
Brooks Koepka
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-USO26-BKOE
Aaron Rai
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-USO26-ARAI
Jon Rahm
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-USO26-JRAH
Rory McIlroy
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-USO26-RMCI
Ludvig Aberg
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-USO26-LABE
Akshay Bhatia
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-USO26-ABHA
Cameron Smith
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-USO26-CSMI
J.J. Spaun
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-USO26-JSPA
Jordan Spieth
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-USO26-JSPI
Wyndham Clark
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-USO26-WCLA
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.