Will Rory McIlroy finish top 20 for U.S. Open
Rory McIlroy is priced at 78¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 34¢ bid, 78¢ ask, 44¢ spread. This outcome ranks #8 of 16 inside KXPGATOP20-USO26.
Price history
78¢ current
+44¢Contract brief
If Rory McIlroy finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 U.S. Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Rory McIlroy
Rank
#8 of 16
Leader
Adrien Dumont De Chassart 85¢
Range
10¢-85¢
Family volume
$491
Identifier
KXPGATOP20-USO26-RMCI
May 28, 2026, 1:08 AM UTC · 18m ago
Implied probability
Bid
34¢
Ask
78¢
Spread
44¢
24h volume
$10
Family rank
#8 of 16
16 outcomes · KXPGATOP20-USO26
Closes
Jul 19, 2026
Family volume
$491
Orderbook snapshot
34 / 78¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Rory McIlroy finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 U.S. Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 19, 2026
Identifier
KXPGATOP20-USO26-RMCI
Event family
KXPGATOP20-USO26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$491
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Adrien Dumont De Chassart 85¢
Current share
2%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-USO26-ADUM
Cameron Young
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-USO26-CAME
Scottie Scheffler
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-USO26-SSCH
Brooks Koepka
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-USO26-BKOE
Aaron Rai
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-USO26-ARAI
Alex Smalley
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-USO26-ASMA
Gary Woodland
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-USO26-GWOO
Rory McIlroy
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-USO26-RMCI
Jacob Bridgeman
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-USO26-JBRI
Akshay Bhatia
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-USO26-ABHA
Cameron Smith
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-USO26-CSMI
Ryo Hisatsune
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-USO26-RHIS
Si Woo Kim
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-USO26-WKIM
Jordan Spieth
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-USO26-JSPI
Justin Thomas
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-USO26-JTHO
Rickie Fowler
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-USO26-RFOW
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.