SimpleFunctions

Will Cameron Young finish top 10 for U.S. Open

Cameron Young is priced at 42¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 25¢ bid, 35¢ ask, 10¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 16 inside KXPGATOP10-USO26.

Price history

42¢ current

+41¢
0¢25¢
May 20, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

If Cameron Young finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 U.S. Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Cameron Young

Rank

#3 of 16

Leader

Scottie Scheffler 61¢

Range

1¢-61¢

Family volume

$191

Identifier

KXPGATOP10-USO26-CAME

May 28, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC · 17m ago

Implied probability

42¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC · 17m ago

Bid

25¢

Ask

35¢

Spread

10¢

Reported volume

$5

Family rank

#3 of 16

16 outcomes · KXPGATOP10-USO26

Closes

Jul 19, 2026

Family volume

$191

Orderbook snapshot

25 / 35¢

Kalshi
10¢ spread
BidSize
100¢13
25¢2
AskSize
35¢2
42¢3.0K
43¢4.5K
44¢6.8K
78¢2.7K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Cameron Young finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 U.S. Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 19, 2026

Identifier

KXPGATOP10-USO26-CAME

SF Signal
SF Index
1067.11
Regime
neutral

Browse this series

PGA Championship Top-N Finish Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXPGATOP series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

2134.2%

IY (No)

237.1%

Adj IY

1067%

CRI

3

Overround

6.3%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

2134.2%
237.1%
Adj IY
1067%
3
Overround
6.3%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.