SimpleFunctions

Will Jacob Bridgeman finish top 20 for U.S. Open

Jacob Bridgeman is priced at 31¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 14¢ bid, 24¢ ask, 10¢ spread. This outcome ranks #11 of 16 inside KXPGATOP20-USO26.

Price history

31¢ current

30¢35¢
May 28, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

If Jacob Bridgeman finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 U.S. Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Jacob Bridgeman

Rank

#11 of 16

Leader

Adrien Dumont De Chassart 85¢

Range

10¢-85¢

Family volume

$291

Identifier

KXPGATOP20-USO26-JBRI

May 28, 2026, 7:38 PM UTC · 26m ago

Implied probability

31¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 7:38 PM UTC · 26m ago

Bid

14¢

Ask

24¢

Spread

10¢

Reported volume

$50

Family rank

#11 of 16

16 outcomes · KXPGATOP20-USO26

Closes

Jul 19, 2026

Family volume

$291

Orderbook snapshot

14 / 24¢

Kalshi
10¢ spread
BidSize
14¢2
AskSize
24¢2
31¢3.0K
32¢4.5K
33¢6.8K
84¢3.8K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Jacob Bridgeman finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 U.S. Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 19, 2026

Identifier

KXPGATOP20-USO26-JBRI

SF Signal
SF Index
791.09
Regime
neutral

Browse this series

PGA Championship Top-N Finish Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXPGATOP series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1582.2%

IY (No)

319.4%

Adj IY

791%

CRI

2

Overround

21.5%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1582.2%
319.4%
Adj IY
791%
2
Overround
21.5%

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Index, screen, query, and monitor.

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.