Will John Keefer finish top 20 for U.S. Open
John Keefer is priced at 19¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 19¢ ask, 19¢ spread. This outcome ranks #16 of 16 inside KXPGATOP20-USO26.
Price history
19¢ current
Contract brief
If John Keefer finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 U.S. Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
John Keefer
Rank
#16 of 16
Leader
Adrien Dumont De Chassart 85¢
Range
19¢-85¢
Family volume
$2K
Identifier
KXPGATOP20-USO26-JKEE
May 25, 2026, 10:38 AM UTC · 3m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
19¢
Spread
19¢
24h volume
$4
Family rank
#16 of 16
16 outcomes · KXPGATOP20-USO26
Closes
Jul 19, 2026
Family volume
$2K
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 19¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If John Keefer finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 U.S. Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 19, 2026
Identifier
KXPGATOP20-USO26-JKEE
Event family
KXPGATOP20-USO26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$2K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Adrien Dumont De Chassart 85¢
Current share
0%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-USO26-ADUM
Ludvig Aberg
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-USO26-LABE
Scottie Scheffler
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-USO26-SSCH
Cameron Young
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-USO26-CAME
Brooks Koepka
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-USO26-BKOE
Justin Thomas
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-USO26-JTHO
Rory McIlroy
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-USO26-RMCI
Justin Rose
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-USO26-JROS
Gary Woodland
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-USO26-GWOO
Wyndham Clark
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-USO26-WCLA
Akshay Bhatia
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-USO26-ABHA
Si Woo Kim
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-USO26-WKIM
Aaron Rai
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-USO26-ARAI
Jordan Spieth
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-USO26-JSPI
Xander Schauffele
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-USO26-XSCH
John Keefer
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-USO26-JKEE
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.