SimpleFunctions

Will Robert MacIntyre finish top 10 for U.S. Open

Robert MacIntyre is priced at 27¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 27¢ ask, 27¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 16 inside KXPGATOP10-USO26.

Price history

27¢ current

25¢30¢
May 25, 2026May 25, 2026

Contract brief

If Robert MacIntyre finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 U.S. Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Robert MacIntyre

Rank

#5 of 16

Leader

Ludvig Aberg 41¢

Range

10¢-41¢

Family volume

$2K

Identifier

KXPGATOP10-USO26-RMAC

May 25, 2026, 12:08 AM UTC · 5m ago

Implied probability

27¢
Latest venue quote
May 25, 2026, 12:08 AM UTC · 5m ago

Bid

Ask

27¢

Spread

27¢

24h volume

$1

Family rank

#5 of 16

16 outcomes · KXPGATOP10-USO26

Closes

Jul 19, 2026

Family volume

$2K

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 27¢

Kalshi
27¢ spread
BidSize
AskSize
27¢3.0K
28¢4.5K
29¢6.8K
44¢391
45¢599

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Robert MacIntyre finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 U.S. Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 19, 2026

Identifier

KXPGATOP10-USO26-RMAC

SF Signal
SF Index
894.52
Regime
neutral

Browse this series

PGA Championship Top-N Finish Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXPGATOP series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1789.0%

IY (No)

244.7%

Adj IY

895%

CRI

3

Overround

6.1%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1789.0%
244.7%
Adj IY
895%
3
Overround
6.1%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.