SimpleFunctions

Will Scottie Scheffler finish top 10 in Round 1 for U.S. Open

Scottie Scheffler is priced at 80¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 80¢ ask, 80¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 4 inside KXPGAR1TOP10-USO26.

Price history

80¢ current

80¢
May 28, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

If Scottie Scheffler finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 U.S. Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Scottie Scheffler

Rank

#1 of 4

Leader

Scottie Scheffler 80¢

Range

80¢-80¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXPGAR1TOP10-USO26-SSCH

May 28, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC · 6m ago

Implied probability

80¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC · 6m ago

Bid

Ask

80¢

Spread

80¢

Reported volume

$45

Family rank

#1 of 4

4 outcomes · KXPGAR1TOP10-USO26

Closes

Jul 19, 2026

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 80¢

Kalshi
80¢ spread
BidSize
AskSize
80¢15
85¢50
90¢50
96¢180
99¢110

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Scottie Scheffler finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 U.S. Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 19, 2026

Identifier

KXPGAR1TOP10-USO26-SSCH

SF Signal
SF Index
1422.81
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXPGAR1TOP10-USO26.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$0

Outcomes

4

Highest price

Scottie Scheffler 80¢

Current share

Browse this series

PGA Championship Round-Leader Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXPGAR series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

177.9%

IY (No)

2845.6%

Adj IY

1423%

CRI

4

Overround

2.2%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

177.9%
2845.6%
Adj IY
1423%
4
Overround
2.2%

Odds pages

Related prediction questions

Browse odds

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Opinioncomparison

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)

Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

Opinionanalysis

Implied Yield vs Raw Probability: Why Bond-Adjacent Prediction Markets Need a Different Lens

Why fixed-income-adjacent prediction-market contracts need to be priced in implied yield, not raw probability, with two real Kalshi Fed-decision contracts as a case study.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.