SimpleFunctions

Will Viktor Hovland finish top 10 for U.S. Open

Viktor Hovland is priced at 25¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 25¢ ask, 25¢ spread. This outcome ranks #7 of 16 inside KXPGATOP10-USO26.

Price history

25¢ current

25¢
May 25, 2026May 25, 2026

Contract brief

If Viktor Hovland finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 U.S. Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Viktor Hovland

Rank

#7 of 16

Leader

Ludvig Aberg 41¢

Range

10¢-41¢

Family volume

$2K

Identifier

KXPGATOP10-USO26-VHOV

May 25, 2026, 12:08 AM UTC · 5m ago

Implied probability

25¢
Latest venue quote
May 25, 2026, 12:08 AM UTC · 5m ago

Bid

Ask

25¢

Spread

25¢

24h volume

$1

Family rank

#7 of 16

16 outcomes · KXPGATOP10-USO26

Closes

Jul 19, 2026

Family volume

$2K

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 25¢

Kalshi
25¢ spread
BidSize
AskSize
25¢3.0K
26¢4.5K
27¢6.8K
42¢367
43¢840

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Viktor Hovland finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 U.S. Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 19, 2026

Identifier

KXPGATOP10-USO26-VHOV

SF Signal
SF Index
992.55
Regime
neutral

Browse this series

PGA Championship Top-N Finish Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXPGATOP series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1985.1%

IY (No)

220.6%

Adj IY

993%

CRI

3

Overround

6.1%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1985.1%
220.6%
Adj IY
993%
3
Overround
6.1%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.