US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
This contract is priced at 56¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 55¢ bid, 56¢ ask, 1¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
3
Family volume
$4.3M
Best sibling
May 15 25¢
Ticker
0x2bef40a1…060c
Market snapshot
May 31 in market context.
This page tracks the Polymarket contract for US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?. The displayed quote is 56¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $77K. In the US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...? family, this outcome ranks #2 of 3 by current quote across 3 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 1:53 AM UTC.
Outcome
May 31
Family rank
#2 of 3
Venue
Polymarket
Current quote
56¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until May 15, 2026
24h volume
$77K
Family context
3 outcomes · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?
Quote range
25¢-80¢
Family leader
June 30 80¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 1:53 AM UTC · 12m ago
Venue identifier: 0x2bef40a1f62d045527228e699990d1bd1f97906b2458a6f3e4a0daf11124060c. Family volume: $4.3M.
Price history
56¢ current
+13¢Orderbook snapshot
55 / 56¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
May 15, 2026
Identifier
0x2bef40a1…060c
Event family
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$4.3M
Outcomes
3
Highest price
June 30 80¢
Current share
22%
May 31
polymarket · 0x2bef40a1f62d045527228e699990d1bd1f97906b2458a6f3e4a0daf11124060c
May 15
polymarket · 0x70d706fe084905dbafb95dfff13b727e4073efc3ef590adc8330562bac5d26de
June 30
polymarket · 0x6fa13f31cceaf10ed3190df6e2aca0a93ab0d6fb46fd279003f17d4cdccee164
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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