SimpleFunctions

Mito H to win V-Varen vs Mito H

Mito H is priced at 32¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 31¢ bid, 32¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 3 inside V-Varen vs Mito H Winner.

Price history

32¢ current

+8¢
20¢30¢
May 27, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

If Mito H wins the V-Varen vs Mito H professional Japan J1 League soccer game originally scheduled for May 30, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Mito H

Rank

#2 of 3

Leader

V-Varen 39¢

Range

27¢-39¢

Family volume

$93

Identifier

KXJLEAGUEGAME-26MAY30VVNMIT-MIT

May 28, 2026, 3:38 PM UTC · 5m ago

Implied probability

32¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 3:38 PM UTC · 5m ago

Bid

31¢

Ask

32¢

Spread

24h volume

$90

Family rank

#2 of 3

3 outcomes · V-Varen vs Mito H Winner

Closes

Jun 13, 2026

Family volume

$93

Orderbook snapshot

31 / 32¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
31¢1.5K
30¢365
29¢1.9K
28¢404
27¢1.4K
AskSize
32¢312
33¢1.9K
34¢404
35¢1.9K
37¢1.8K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Mito H wins the V-Varen vs Mito H professional Japan J1 League soccer game originally scheduled for May 30, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 13, 2026

Identifier

KXJLEAGUEGAME-26MAY30VVNMIT-MIT

SF Signal
SF Index
4956.09
Regime
neutral

Event family

V-Varen vs Mito H Winner.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$93

Outcomes

3

Highest price

V-Varen 39¢

Current share

96%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

5180.6%

IY (No)

1045.7%

Adj IY

4956%

CRI

2

RV

255%

VR

0.29

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

5180.6%
1045.7%
Adj IY
4956%
2
RV
255%
VR
0.29
IAR
0.4/h
Overround
-0.0%

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Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.