V-Varen to win V-Varen vs Mito H
V-Varen is priced at 40¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 39¢ bid, 41¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 3 inside V-Varen vs Mito H Winner.
Price history
40¢ current
+1¢Contract brief
If V-Varen wins the V-Varen vs Mito H professional Japan J1 League soccer game originally scheduled for May 30, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
V-Varen
Rank
#1 of 3
Leader
V-Varen 39¢
Range
27¢-39¢
Family volume
$93
Identifier
KXJLEAGUEGAME-26MAY30VVNMIT-VVN
May 28, 2026, 3:38 PM UTC · 5m ago
Implied probability
Bid
39¢
Ask
41¢
Spread
2¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#1 of 3
3 outcomes · V-Varen vs Mito H Winner
Closes
Jun 13, 2026
Family volume
$93
Orderbook snapshot
39 / 41¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If V-Varen wins the V-Varen vs Mito H professional Japan J1 League soccer game originally scheduled for May 30, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 13, 2026
Identifier
KXJLEAGUEGAME-26MAY30VVNMIT-VVN
Event family
V-Varen vs Mito H Winner.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$93
Outcomes
3
Highest price
V-Varen 39¢
Current share
0%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.