SimpleFunctions
PolymarketOct 17, 2026161 days left

Will William Azaroff win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?

This contract is priced at 5¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 4¢ bid, 6¢ ask, 2¢ spread.

Implied probability

5¢
$4K volume
$5K liquidity
7% of event volume

Event outcomes

12

Family volume

$58K

Best sibling

Kareem Allam 41¢

Ticker

0xe3a2415e…4a03

Market snapshot

William Azaroff in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will William Azaroff win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?. The displayed quote is 5¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $4K. In the Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner family, this outcome ranks #4 of 12 by current quote across 12 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC.

Outcome

William Azaroff

Family rank

#4 of 12

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Oct 17, 2026

Reported volume

$4K

Family context

12 outcomes · Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner

Quote range

0¢-41¢

Family leader

Kareem Allam 41¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC · 13m ago

Venue identifier: 0xe3a2415eb9cd17f05d6b26a4a4ee6e2b17c6dbf60b99c0ad2ca79a6a1e9c4a03. Family volume: $58K.

Price history

5¢ current

3¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 25, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

4 / 6¢

Polymarket
2¢ spread
BidSize
4¢40
4¢40
4¢50
4¢10
3¢100
3¢1.1K
3¢100
3¢198
AskSize
6¢20
9¢150
9¢182
12¢30
13¢20
14¢20
14¢50
14¢20

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Oct 17, 2026

Identifier

0xe3a2415e…4a03

Event family

Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$58K

Outcomes

12

Highest price

Kareem Allam 41¢

Current share

7%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

4315.7%

IY (No)

12.0%

Adj IY

4316%

CRI

19

RV

2390%

VR

4.03

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

4315.7%
12.0%
Adj IY
4316%
19
RV
2390%
VR
4.03
IAR
1.9/h
Overround
-0.1%

Odds pages

Related prediction questions

Browse odds

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Conceptmethodology

Resolution Risk Premium: Pricing the Rule, Not the Outcome

When the resolution rule is fuzzy, the price is the market's estimate of how the rule will be interpreted, not the outcome's probability. Three case studies and the discount math.

Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

Opinionanalysis

Information Finance Has Arrived: A Material Map of Prediction Markets in Q2 2026

Combined Kalshi + Polymarket volume hit $66B in just four months of 2026 — already greater than the entire 2025 industry total. Bernstein projects $1T by 2030. Two venues hold 95% of US share. The distribution layer fragmented across nine retail surfaces. AI agents are 30% of Polymarket wallet activ

Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Opinioncomparison

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)

Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.

Conceptmethodology

Maker / Taker Regime in Prediction Markets: How to Read the Orderbook State

Three regime states (maker-dominated, taker-dominated, neutral) and how to read which one a Kalshi or Polymarket contract is in. Strategy follows regime, not thesis.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index