Will the NYSE choose Ethereum?
This contract is priced at 40¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 1¢ bid, 79¢ ask, 78¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
5
Family volume
$4K
Best sibling
Multichain 39¢
Ticker
0xa3b2cc8e…4776
Market snapshot
Ethereum in market context.
This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will the NYSE choose Ethereum?. The displayed quote is 40¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $258. In the What chain will the NYSE choose for tokenized securities? family, this outcome ranks #3 of 5 by current quote across 5 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC.
Outcome
Ethereum
Family rank
#3 of 5
Venue
Polymarket
Current quote
40¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Jan 1, 2027
Reported volume
$258
Family context
5 outcomes · What chain will the NYSE choose for tokenized securities?
Quote range
39¢-50¢
Family leader
Own Chain 50¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC · 11m ago
Venue identifier: 0xa3b2cc8e0da880bcf13fbb596f0d97a3f272a2dea3765a5f900dcef1801e4776. Family volume: $4K.
Price history
40¢ current
+16¢Orderbook snapshot
1 / 79¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
NYSE has announced plans to launch a tokenized securities platform. More details can be found here: https://x.com/NYSE/status/2013263835549819097 This market will resolve to the blockchain that the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) officially confirms it will use for the settlement of its tokenized securities platform. An official announcement, regulatory filing, or public statement from NYSE or ICE explicitly naming a blockchain will qualify for resolution and will trigger immediate resolution, regardless of whether additional blockchains are announced later. If multiple blockchains are officially confirmed at the time of the first qualifying announcement, this market will resolve to “Multichain.” If NYSE or ICE confirms the use of its own blockchain developed by or for NYSE/ICE—whether public or private, and whether developed independently or in partnership—this market will resolve to “Own Chain.” The primary resolution sources will be official announcements from NYSE or ICE, regulatory filings, or a broad consensus of credible reporting. If no blockchain is officially confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
0xa3b2cc8e…4776
Event family
What chain will the NYSE choose for tokenized securities.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$4K
Outcomes
5
Highest price
Own Chain 50¢
Current share
6%
Ethereum
polymarket · 0xa3b2cc8e0da880bcf13fbb596f0d97a3f272a2dea3765a5f900dcef1801e4776
Multichain
polymarket · 0x3324bf416e1b675542d4ae4193a9449195bf2282d775333bdaf612fd91872799
Solana
polymarket · 0x3bd95a08679a57cbfe5ad3934cee732da4f4e83e279d226479ac7bcb4e88c26a
Base
polymarket · 0xec768084c33f5a50972ccf7d041b9e42ff3d7ca79ff35409fdca486bb8441970
Own Chain
polymarket · 0x2666b09b529c9d980c3306c909f821f1f8bb4d393df9d6f1cef031b787ed5d26
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
Related prediction questions
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets
Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Prediction market liquidity: why depth matters more than volume for serious traders
Why orderbook depth matters more than volume for prediction market traders. Real Kalshi examples, liquidity scoring framework, and how to avoid slippage.
Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity
How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.
Why Prediction Market Orderbooks Are Nothing Like Stock Orderbooks
Deep analysis of prediction market orderbook microstructure. How binary settlement, belief distributions, and cross-strike coherence create unique trading signals on Kalshi.
Reading Prediction Market Orderbooks: Liquidity, Spread, and When to Enter
How to read prediction market orderbooks on Kalshi. Covers bid-ask spread analysis, liquidity scoring, executable edge calculation, and when thin markets are opportunities vs traps.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 40% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.