↑ $164 · What will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit in May 2026
↑ $164 is priced at 1¢ midpoint on Polymarket. Current book: 0¢ bid, 1¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #9 of 12 inside What will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit in May 2026?.
Price history
1¢ current
−3¢Contract brief
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during May 2026, any 1-minute candle for Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.ABNB%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.ABNB%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Outcome
↑ $164
Rank
#9 of 12
Leader
↓ $128 16¢
Range
0¢-16¢
Family volume
$144K
Identifier
0xa7c3f528...cfa6
May 28, 2026, 8:33 AM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
1¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$10
Family rank
#9 of 12
12 outcomes · What will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit in May 2026?
Closes
Jun 1, 2026
Family volume
$144K
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 1¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during May 2026, any 1-minute candle for Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.ABNB%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.ABNB%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jun 1, 2026
Identifier
0xa7c3f528…cfa6
Event family
What will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit in May 2026.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$144K
Outcomes
12
Highest price
↓ $128 16¢
Current share
2%
↓ $128
polymarket · 0x9bbfaa26217ae3acfd02c8e840a8260cda685de57e95e1be6486978a8608f444
↑ $140
polymarket · 0x2f1b9638adf247219178da6b047dc18f705ec5cf8db78cfc3efe53788cd27f5a
↑ $144
polymarket · 0x21c3e2ae1bb4ac18b4c22eee717a0f29c234eb9e4d8e66fc70d6b69b7bad6c64
↓ $124
polymarket · 0x7eb0b2bc6a6fe62151514cb938a40531f46e21674a6b97819bfc76368f0c81e1
↑ $152
polymarket · 0x9e79d263df8ed24a16c22dc936726c9192a86616af02bccd1b4009b903b573d3
↑ $156
polymarket · 0x5c12556488baeb91ce51cecb7928dad6dacbaafc8591f1a25a0123a6e2dc7720
↓ $120
polymarket · 0x7cac75e2c2888938a3526731a09ebc63b4dab60efca4fdf81a4687b62575794f
↑ $148
polymarket · 0x938883032dd48072f83123b2cc037ff21a61a72579f2e937bda4b5e815b521e2
↓ $116
polymarket · 0x96f2a22c3d2a643362667822b1cfc2e285c2bad2a87053a5e88ddc08ecfddace
↑ $160
polymarket · 0x3c3ee395f4a73676d86a40d8933a5df46197d8e47a348d44f574602254bf041b
↑ $164
polymarket · 0xa7c3f528af9d163d2b38dbe048f01b97a474ac8d0ea023c37e03d268f100cfa6
↑ $168
polymarket · 0x3fb64c182b73876bdd3bacb492e2a3c854a1878e7812c8234726e32b1ef40b6f
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.