SimpleFunctions
KalshiMay 7, 2026

What will Donald Trump say during Bilateral Meetings with the President of the Federative Republic of Brazil?

By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 13 May 2026Methodology

This contract is priced at 1¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 100¢ ask, 100¢ spread.

Implied probability

1¢
$36K volume
$25K liquidity
100% of event volume

Event outcomes

1

Family volume

$36K

Best sibling

Ticker

KXTRUMPMENTION-26MAY07-VENE

Market snapshot

What will Donald Trump say during Bilateral Meetings with the President of the Federative Republic of Brazil in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for What will Donald Trump say during Bilateral Meetings with the President of the Federative Republic of Brazil?. The displayed quote is 1¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $36K. It is currently represented as a standalone prediction-market contract. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 13, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC.

Outcome

What will Donald Trump say during Bilateral Meetings with the President of the Federative Republic of Brazil

Family rank

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Past listed close May 7, 2026

Reported volume

$36K

Family context

Standalone contract

Quote range

Family leader

Last updated

May 13, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC · 0m ago

Venue identifier: KXTRUMPMENTION-26MAY07-VENE. Family volume: $36K.

Price history

1¢ current

9¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 7, 2026May 7, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 100¢

Kalshi
100¢ spread
No public depth snapshot is cached for this contract yet.

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Donald Trump says Venezuela as part of Bilateral Meetings with the President of the Federative Republic of Brazil , then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 7, 2026

Identifier

KXTRUMPMENTION-26MAY07-VENE

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Event family

This market.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$36K

Outcomes

1

Highest price

What will Donald Trump say during Bilateral Meetings with the President of the Federative Republic of Brazil 1¢

Current share

100%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

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SimpleFunctions context

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.