What will Intel Corporation say during their next earnings call?

This market exhibits extreme illiquidity and pricing distortion typical of niche prediction markets, with only $3.4 in 24-hour volume against $522 open interest and a 13¢ spread representing 46% of the current price. The asymmetric implied yields—2260% for Yes versus 22% for No—suggest severe mispricing, likely driven by minimal trading activity and the low base rate (28%) of Intel mentioning Apple during earnings calls. With 163 days to expiry, a realized volatility of 4736%, and a cliff risk index of 10, this market carries substantial uncertainty around resolution mechanics and should be approached cautiously by retail traders.

Resolution rules

If Apple is said by any Intel Corporation representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Intel Corporation earnings call (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes.

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