What will Lisa Su say during 2026 OneMIT Commencement Ceremony
Claude / ChatGPT is priced at 1¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 100¢ ask, 100¢ spread. This outcome ranks #7 of 14 inside What will Lisa Su say during 2026 OneMIT Commencement Ceremony.
Price history
1¢ current
−21¢Contract brief
If Lisa Su says Claude / ChatGPT as part of 2026 OneMIT Commencement Ceremony , then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Claude / ChatGPT
Rank
#7 of 14
Leader
IBM 99¢
Range
1¢-99¢
Family volume
$41K
Identifier
KXPERSONMENTION-26MAY28-CLAU
May 28, 2026, 7:38 PM UTC · 1h ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
100¢
Spread
100¢
24h volume
$2K
Family rank
#7 of 14
14 outcomes · What will Lisa Su say during 2026 OneMIT Commencement Ceremony
Closes
May 28, 2026
Family volume
$41K
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 100¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Lisa Su says Claude / ChatGPT as part of 2026 OneMIT Commencement Ceremony , then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
May 28, 2026
Identifier
KXPERSONMENTION-26MAY28-CLAU
Event family
What will Lisa Su say during 2026 OneMIT Commencement Ceremony.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$41K
Outcomes
14
Highest price
IBM 99¢
Current share
5%
IBM
kalshi · KXPERSONMENTION-26MAY28-IBM
Mind and Hand
kalshi · KXPERSONMENTION-26MAY28-MIND
AI / Artificial Intelligence
kalshi · KXPERSONMENTION-26MAY28-AI
TSMC / Taiwan
kalshi · KXPERSONMENTION-26MAY28-TSMC
Semiconductor / Chip
kalshi · KXPERSONMENTION-26MAY28-SEMI
PhD / Doctorate
kalshi · KXPERSONMENTION-26MAY28-PHD
Innovative / Innovation
kalshi · KXPERSONMENTION-26MAY28-INNO
Robot / Robotic / Robotics
kalshi · KXPERSONMENTION-26MAY28-ROBO
China / Chinese
kalshi · KXPERSONMENTION-26MAY28-CHIN
Claude / ChatGPT
kalshi · KXPERSONMENTION-26MAY28-CLAU
Data Center
kalshi · KXPERSONMENTION-26MAY28-DATA
Event does not qualify
kalshi · KXPERSONMENTION-26MAY28-NQE
Open Source
kalshi · KXPERSONMENTION-26MAY28-OPEN
Nvidia / Jensen
kalshi · KXPERSONMENTION-26MAY28-NVID
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.