SimpleFunctions

What will the announcers say during Royals vs Rangers Professional Baseball Game

Ohtani is priced at 47¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 12¢ bid, 81¢ ask, 69¢ spread. This outcome ranks #12 of 16 inside What will the announcers say during Royals vs Rangers Professional Baseball Game.

Price history

47¢ current

+45¢
0¢25¢50¢
May 27, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

If the play by play or color commentator(s) says Ohtani as part of Royals vs Rangers Professional Baseball Game , then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Ohtani

Rank

#12 of 16

Leader

Bullpen 97¢

Range

1¢-97¢

Family volume

$1K

Identifier

KXMLBMENTION-26MAY30KCTEX-OHTA

May 28, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 11m ago

Implied probability

47¢
Bid/ask midpoint
May 28, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 11m ago

Bid

12¢

Ask

81¢

Spread

69¢

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

#12 of 16

16 outcomes · What will the announcers say during Royals vs Rangers Professional Baseball Game

Closes

Jun 13, 2026

Family volume

$1K

Orderbook snapshot

12 / 81¢

Kalshi
69¢ spread
BidSize
12¢5
11¢5
10¢40
9¢200
8¢20
AskSize
81¢11
82¢20
83¢40
84¢90
85¢200

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the play by play or color commentator(s) says Ohtani as part of Royals vs Rangers Professional Baseball Game , then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 13, 2026

Identifier

KXMLBMENTION-26MAY30KCTEX-OHTA

SF Signal
SF Index
16688.49
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

16688.5%

IY (No)

310.3%

Adj IY

16688%

CRI

7

RV

1696%

VR

0.67

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

16688.5%
310.3%
Adj IY
16688%
7
RV
1696%
VR
0.67
IAR
0.7/h
Overround
6.7%

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SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.