What will The Procter & Gamble Company say during their next earnings call?

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85¢
Bid/Ask 73/85¢·Spread 12¢·Vol $0·OI $130·Closes Sep 30, 2026·163d remaining
KXEARNINGSMENTIONPG-26APR24-AI
7-day price53 snapshots · 6 regime
73¢73¢ current
Apr 1664¢Apr 20

Analysis

25h ago

This market shows extreme mispricing with a 571.8% implied yield on the No side despite an 85% Yes price, suggesting severe illiquidity and potential manipulation given the $0 24-hour volume and minimal $130 open interest. The 12¢ spread is unusually wide for such a high probability outcome, and the 158% realized volatility combined with a 1.63 vol ratio indicates this contract has experienced significant price swings unmoored from fundamental expectations. With 164 days to expiry and P&G's regular earnings cadence, the market appears to be a low-liquidity trap rather than a genuine pricing mechanism for whether "AI" will be mentioned during their next call—a relatively likely event given current corporate discourse.

Resolution rules

If AI / Artificial Intelligence is said by any The Procter & Gamble Company representative (including the operator of the call) during the next The Procter & Gamble Company earnings call (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 82.8%
IY (No) 605.1%
Adj IY 514%
CRI 3
RV 139%
VR 1.47
▶ Full indicator table (9)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)82.8%
IY (No)605.1%
Adj IY514%
CRI3
RV139%
VR1.47
IAR0.8/h
Overround7.0%
LAS0.15

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
12¢
Computed
4/20/2026, 11:56:37 AM
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/20/2026, 11:53:45 AM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXEARNINGSMENTIONPG-26APR24-AI yes 100

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