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Before Mar 1, 2027 · When will Freddie Mac officially announce an IPO?: Before

Before Mar 1, 2027 is priced at 11¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 99¢ ask, 99¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 13 inside When will Freddie Mac officially announce an IPO?: Before.

Price history

11¢ current

0¢10¢
May 6, 2026May 22, 2026

Contract brief

If Freddie Mac confirms an IPO before Mar 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Before Mar 1, 2027

Rank

#1 of 13

Leader

Before Mar 1, 2027 11¢

Range

1¢-11¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXFREDDIE-27MAR01

May 24, 2026, 3:38 AM UTC · 23m ago

Implied probability

11¢
Latest venue quote
May 24, 2026, 3:38 AM UTC · 23m ago

Bid

Ask

99¢

Spread

99¢

Reported volume

$549

Family rank

#1 of 13

13 outcomes · When will Freddie Mac officially announce an IPO?: Before

Closes

Mar 1, 2027

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 99¢

Kalshi
99¢ spread
BidSize
AskSize
99¢50

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Freddie Mac confirms an IPO before Mar 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Mar 1, 2027

Identifier

KXFREDDIE-27MAR01

SF Signal
SF Index
525.37
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1050.7%

IY (No)

16.1%

Adj IY

525%

CRI

8

Overround

-0.1%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Observability

high

Event type

financial

Full indicator table

1050.7%
16.1%
Adj IY
525%
8
Overround
-0.1%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.