China · Where will Trump and Putin meet next
China is priced at 1¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 1¢ bid, 1¢ ask, 0¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 15 inside Where will Trump and Putin meet next?.
Price history
1¢ current
−4¢Contract brief
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between September 30 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe. A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates). The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Outcome
China
Rank
#3 of 15
Leader
No meeting by June 30 94¢
Range
0¢-94¢
Family volume
$8.0M
Identifier
0x54904e2a...679a
May 27, 2026, 9:09 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
1¢
Ask
1¢
Spread
0¢
24h volume
$238
Family rank
#3 of 15
15 outcomes · Where will Trump and Putin meet next?
Closes
Jun 30, 2026
Family volume
$8.0M
Orderbook snapshot
1 / 1¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between September 30 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe. A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates). The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jun 30, 2026
Identifier
0x54904e2a…679a
Cross-venue match
Similar contract on kalshi at 7¢, -6¢ versus this page.
Event family
Where will Trump and Putin meet next.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$8.0M
Outcomes
15
Highest price
No meeting by June 30 94¢
Current share
6%
No meeting by June 30
polymarket · 0x90c6511dcc9499c2c58786a2456df333a87c97a9cf548acc26f3e4e56fbc36e7
Russia
polymarket · 0x9031561489f77ba1f89c0b963170a6853c39840e6e89a6a658a05d12b60a1ff0
Turkey
polymarket · 0x370ee4a82b6b36581ebf892d41ee60ad926d54db92721e0e9c3a77b7778d15c7
Other
polymarket · 0x5cfd3b9eaffbe2883439c5857f11def395dd3e607bd22b6dbfb861fad83a452d
China
polymarket · 0x54904e2a225c195eeb6984d417a222264fe9cc7f64b90449853b7499f1d8679a
Gulf country
polymarket · 0x28d17bc11c85f2e71efcba26b3712177911d9473af80749b59056e03ce24b0d7
Finland
polymarket · 0x253fe85d20988e2b394e5a13937df72fbb2e82330a42d0f943bb8d96cc858549
Australia
polymarket · 0x30bd076067c87467e2437613f4ac9ce7b0ff529ffd1b9c9a40541ffa892dfed5
Other EU country
polymarket · 0x6c85fe5b4197dc55dafef8368acaddb96adb892447730dfa53076c537b0bd9f6
Belarus
polymarket · 0xca2059450e49cc391ea49c5f205dce7f1a2af63b87d7a3156cd446592ebb7143
United States
polymarket · 0x731178908877c9a1a00978facbdf08d0b664cb0e0b6cec70aa2fe0b5afcebeb6
Ukraine
polymarket · 0x583c901fbd72f08a49f22edf5a4b1d750872cccec6a90e9a126cd8beb29f6d64
South Korea
polymarket · 0xb2ac29ac67bad0e532b821d194e6e56c0173bb32913d0685ddf8aab8a4a2aedc
Switzerland
polymarket · 0x641830333ea2219982ecfc1819e46eb37cd07fa78c3e4da026ac068a6617e508
Japan
polymarket · 0x1827f7e35c24f0cd5ff86318af815e61fdf89364977ead7e20ff867efec98c39
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Observability
medium
Event type
political
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.