Will Alex Warren have a #1 hit in April?

Prediction markets currently give a 5% probability that Will Alex Warren have a #1 hit in April?. This contract trades at 5¢ on Polymarket, closing April 30, 2026.

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5¢
Bid/Ask 3/8¢·Spread 5¢·Vol $0·OI $4,042.373·Closes Apr 30, 2026·6d remaining
0xb02fc8ab68ac0a8fe887769925028cfe143065f0b1224ea92cae2b5eb6548b72
7-day price262 snapshots · 2 regime
8¢5¢ current
Apr 80¢Apr 23

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart, which can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbMDoHDwVN2tF.

Indicators

IY (Yes) >100,000%
IY (No) 315.0%
Adj IY 50000%
CRI 19
Overround -0.8%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)>100,000%
IY (No)315.0%
Adj IY50000%
CRI19
Overround-0.8%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.409
Spread
5¢
Computed
4/23/2026, 9:38:37 PM
Observability mediumEvent type cultural
Indicators computed 4/23/2026, 9:38:13 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0xb02fc8ab68ac0a8fe887769925028cfe143065f0b1224ea92cae2b5eb6548b72 yes 100

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