SimpleFunctions
PolymarketDec 31, 2026236 days left

Will Post Malone have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

This contract is priced at 61¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 44¢ bid, 78¢ ask, 34¢ spread.

Implied probability

61¢
$145 volume
$187 liquidity
0% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$101K

Best sibling

Billie Eilish 33¢

Ticker

0x441f95ff…1e87

Market snapshot

Post Malone in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Post Malone have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?. The displayed quote is 61¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $145. In the Which artists will have a Billboard #1 song this year? family, this outcome ranks #3 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC.

Outcome

Post Malone

Family rank

#3 of 16

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

61¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Dec 31, 2026

Reported volume

$145

Family context

16 outcomes · Which artists will have a Billboard #1 song this year?

Quote range

8¢-90¢

Family leader

Mariah Carey 90¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC · 13m ago

Venue identifier: 0x441f95ffdc8379d6a6b3ecb1f45e9bf13529f0b6cab5efd0196fd1d4d7781e87. Family volume: $101K.

Price history

61¢ current

+13¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 17, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

44 / 78¢

Polymarket
34¢ spread
BidSize
100¢29
44¢8
43¢18
7¢10
6¢250
5¢700
4¢100
AskSize
78¢40
85¢168
86¢57
89¢700
97¢29
98¢50
99¢12

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any song by the listed artist is the number 1 song in any official weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs chart released for a data collection reference period entirely between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any song released with the listed artist as a primary artist will count, including songs released before 2026. If a song is released jointly by multiple artists credited equally as primary artists, it will count for all of them. Features, writing credits, production credits, or other forms of non-primary contributions to a song will not count. Artist attribution will be determined solely by the artists displayed by Billboard on the relevant chart. Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data collected in the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. The first Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the chart titled “Week of January 17, 2026” for a data collection reference period of January 2-8, 2026. The final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the Chart titled “Week of January 9, 2027” for a data collection reference period of December 25-31, 2026. Updates or revisions made within this market’s timeframe to the #1-ranked song on previously published Billboard Hot 100 charts will be considered; however, such updates will not disqualify a previously published Billboard Hot 100 #1 song from counting. If a Billboard Hot 100 #1 song is revised after initial publication, both the originally published #1 song and the revised #1 song will count for this market. Updates or revisions made after the release of the final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be the weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs charts published each week at https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/ and through other official Billboard channels.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Dec 31, 2026

Identifier

0x441f95ff…1e87

Event family

Which artists will have a Billboard #1 song this year.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$101K

Outcomes

16

Highest price

Mariah Carey 90¢

Current share

0%

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

Post Malone

polymarket · 0x441f95ffdc8379d6a6b3ecb1f45e9bf13529f0b6cab5efd0196fd1d4d7781e87

61¢$145$0

Billie Eilish

polymarket · 0x892d3a913a5ce5fac86c88eb362b7858bfa866f579be5f184bf6cddcb587f6c6

33¢$40K$0

Doja Cat

polymarket · 0xe45c05ece77ebe05f9ad325001ac226cb9c862b077030b65286891bef5b4859c

10¢$10K$00.5

Frank Ocean

polymarket · 0xade5d24a028335c1af2e80dec01422a656226c584455e6852189c39cfebdb830

8¢$9K$0

Jack Harlow

polymarket · 0x33af2eb0a55b053264f88a29977837e500c9a4aabdd1da9fcf1ce1428d6aa903

9¢$9K$00.8

Playboi Carti

polymarket · 0x9acd1fad62009e8eaa01a55b680cd2157b62addaeb281e9592ab76d20799643b

48¢$7K$01.5

Future

polymarket · 0xf9ab3829eb85b2846f8e4f8d02e3fd035381309c3b5d7a1a04e41e9cba74fd82

21¢$6K$01.5

The Weeknd

polymarket · 0xbc4dbe5037661f27535ffa738b693d6003053a87c9ee527988d8d4a880a106a9

38¢$5K$00.6

Kendrick Lamar

polymarket · 0x0cac4e851f08527d142c537bd80c3c0ccc642e59928354c76f0834c018f8c029

40¢$4K$0

Drake

polymarket · 0x14db5fe75bc6f415da24c368c82e30d72fd58fc6ae631df757a0ceac4de5509b

89¢$4K$510.0

Luke Combs

polymarket · 0x51eb1fc36e97b2aebe47baf0ff55a86c280d41cbb0d250a5eadceedc4f6d81d8

39¢$2K$00.5

Mariah Carey

polymarket · 0x32c9802fd247d6049bd22b038b245d3d92be89c8bdc6e3c06760215643693461

90¢$2K$0

A$AP Rocky

polymarket · 0xcb9afce56f5c231235c2e8e93acb3783d8860bd20a0949f55239c3372acc2693

17¢$2K$01.2

Zach Bryan

polymarket · 0xe90f835a4874a9632d1848f0664cfbb984b2ac0232c0c331988efc9a80e4d56d

8¢$781$0

Kanye West

polymarket · 0x3297ab8538e92f2d798ed9cf0036d7306c3bd1dd71c2a6d76756d3b838bf2832

12¢$707$0

Rihanna

polymarket · 0x0e3dadcf791ff5c1b63055ac7401d5994e5f8cac2c423d86ef86bbd40821914c

30¢$540$01.8

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

99.0%

IY (No)

242.2%

Adj IY

242%

CRI

2

RV

1072%

VR

9.05

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

99.0%
242.2%
Adj IY
242%
2
RV
1072%
VR
9.05
IAR
1.9/h
Overround
8.2%

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