Will Google have the #2 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
This contract is priced at 25¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 13¢ bid, 37¢ ask, 24¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
15
Family volume
$9K
Best sibling
Anthropic 75¢
Ticker
0x296eb2ad…f3a0
Market snapshot
Google in market context.
This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Google have the #2 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?. The displayed quote is 25¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $877. In the Which company has the #2 AI model end of May? (Style Control On) family, this outcome ranks #2 of 15 by current quote across 15 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 9:53 AM UTC.
Outcome
Family rank
#2 of 15
Venue
Polymarket
Current quote
25¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until May 31, 2026
Reported volume
$877
Family context
15 outcomes · Which company has the #2 AI model end of May? (Style Control On)
Quote range
0¢-75¢
Family leader
Anthropic 75¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 9:53 AM UTC · 3m ago
Venue identifier: 0x296eb2adf80e855262de9c772ac0b250e0f5321a200a6fa1bc0569b33dbaf3a0. Family volume: $9K.
Price history
25¢ current
+1¢Orderbook snapshot
13 / 37¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the second-highest arena rank (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking system. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
May 31, 2026
Identifier
0x296eb2ad…f3a0
Event family
Which company has the #2 AI model end of May? (Style Control On).
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$9K
Outcomes
15
Highest price
Anthropic 75¢
Current share
10%
polymarket · 0x296eb2adf80e855262de9c772ac0b250e0f5321a200a6fa1bc0569b33dbaf3a0
Anthropic
polymarket · 0x1f32f863e91164ee86612de6587f5f40b5f8efc85f046b18cb9b4ec06ec0f509
Z.ai
polymarket · 0xf51338343ae194afc8526a4033cbc8e018229fa049f8f683a82ef5dbefe679bf
Alibaba
polymarket · 0xb6040c2c443a855ddaca72312a50114a0a3394fc3d6452b0ef21a3f7c01c8b4e
Amazon
polymarket · 0xb1114ddae2b1cd3fec76c7c32ca2951653f13c33cc5202feae1dfae55a6cba2f
OpenAI
polymarket · 0xcb9385c81e4740c70a3dc079ffe8e29ade26b7e3748affea13634e4bd3f92e68
Meta
polymarket · 0xbe79f6cec1ad1cc0b31aa4a5ae2f46448aa63ce6a2c9f339b852998b34b037a7
Microsoft
polymarket · 0x559af4041300eaaec5291e9fd0d254e7f14d4a399b34537093fc077469a15e49
Baidu
polymarket · 0x35c6ce63fb7f62224ce7a8314eb67bcf26f78ac1065f7c2cafae83589929d751
xAI
polymarket · 0x9cfb2e450a075efa98bf4244b70463399d15183032257cedcd6b155d0de93f22
DeepSeek
polymarket · 0x4e88a7a222556372f142a76dd0b7558f215e3dc7f2d835d4dcb1b52226e15cfe
Mistral
polymarket · 0xc065356cd2827470422836387359b461c3ebea6ee6363faffb95cf202ec787bb
Meituan
polymarket · 0x32626a6bc0aab5d4edc1debbe16ed0de651a442c892e16e5a98d4750d55b5bb2
Moonshot
polymarket · 0xaf2d6ee0d38870222401756d342a8e5e296edf778c55a9075bf7b7df98efb318
ByteDance
polymarket · 0xc374eb098a2c69047b97966b3108e41b6220d798d06c33bf2d9c65fb53bc7cd8
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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