Meituan · Which company has the best Math AI model end of May
Meituan is priced at 0¢ midpoint on Polymarket. Current book: 0¢ bid, 0¢ ask, 0¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 15 inside Which company has the best Math AI model end of May?.
Price history
0¢ current
Contract brief
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Outcome
Meituan
Rank
#5 of 15
Leader
Google 79¢
Range
0¢-79¢
Family volume
$266K
Identifier
0xa5d9e160...5b33
May 27, 2026, 10:16 AM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
0¢
Spread
0¢
Reported volume
$3K
Family rank
#5 of 15
15 outcomes · Which company has the best Math AI model end of May?
Closes
May 31, 2026
Family volume
$266K
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 0¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
May 31, 2026
Identifier
0xa5d9e160…5b33
Event family
Which company has the best Math AI model end of May.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$266K
Outcomes
15
Highest price
Google 79¢
Current share
1%
polymarket · 0xb45bcc8c4580c1c015f6e17c5bd13e2fa31c27920cafe3ddbf59b4b5fbd526f2
Anthropic
polymarket · 0xf5eed5d402c85807bede0e4b9169173e48c5ba42879da524cc03ad35092c7995
OpenAI
polymarket · 0xb833e3aba09dc39808c66bbac2ddea4345d0d44b6d9595f35b549f51aaf40a5d
Alibaba
polymarket · 0xfcd7d9e6a602041813f2f56c467f174959d0068c22f6147e122a941ad30fdbc6
Baidu
polymarket · 0xc3e00fab310b79b397823f987eb4ab0496c25cbcbbc3b5e4ec66eb3a1d24a8b9
Moonshot
polymarket · 0xb08cb465b8edd44c08c5c66193a4b37366d9a5c5eb27188a5cb4c8a6082769b0
xAI
polymarket · 0x195640b227530d45ec159b0645310bcbd4659f8c23009ec7ecd23fdb434aa44b
Z.ai
polymarket · 0xa40e927b4adb3ad4c73c02b4f164658ebd3d57be14d57dcc2fd468811dbf09db
DeepSeek
polymarket · 0xf0a628bb898828c183e1e378075457c8ed2563b3b50803851cfe947318820df5
ByteDance
polymarket · 0x0b278cab227996b9b3275551a858e85c648e5d9a0ddc767a5af2688ca58857f7
Meta
polymarket · 0xa7a944727c0d1a45e6b3b8afd7b39e9ac1f8e6d9ac453903cf9e0622b3be29a3
Mistral
polymarket · 0xffaad2035d665d2e9682dc1452a6f48bc580b6f7c34de27286329a5fe5d5795e
Amazon
polymarket · 0x54b0a235bcce3a030828a9d9133fef93143347f8a0e4316bc343342b1138a5ae
Meituan
polymarket · 0xa5d9e160d91440a62fdbb5d3009de19d1f5ead4c7a13e48e949b4585ad0b5b33
Microsoft
polymarket · 0x465bf31114d5b992cafbc0b7b5f2dab6aefba9d214d1cf945ddee5f17b0d582f
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
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Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 0% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.