Will Meta have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?
This contract is priced at 1¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 0¢ bid, 1¢ ask, 1¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
15
Family volume
$49K
Best sibling
Anthropic 81¢
Ticker
0xfb7f1f63…5b3f
Market snapshot
Meta in market context.
This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Meta have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?. The displayed quote is 1¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $467. In the Which company has the second best AI model end of May? family, this outcome ranks #3 of 15 by current quote across 15 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 11:26 AM UTC.
Outcome
Meta
Family rank
#3 of 15
Venue
Polymarket
Current quote
1¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until May 31, 2026
24h volume
$467
Family context
15 outcomes · Which company has the second best AI model end of May?
Quote range
0¢-81¢
Family leader
Anthropic 81¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 11:26 AM UTC · 0m ago
Venue identifier: 0xfb7f1f63699706330125728bec1303b885a5498911fbdb913284a35814a55b3f. Family volume: $49K.
Price history
1¢ current
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 1¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the second-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking system. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
May 31, 2026
Identifier
0xfb7f1f63…5b3f
Event family
Which company has the second best AI model end of May.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$49K
Outcomes
15
Highest price
Anthropic 81¢
Current share
7%
Meta
polymarket · 0xfb7f1f63699706330125728bec1303b885a5498911fbdb913284a35814a55b3f
Anthropic
polymarket · 0x0ae8b3f17fec50cc5f05cd2cb6ce8c9bb72cae58b43ecb2282844bf2283b8189
polymarket · 0xa970036dde3bc2538ec4d5cd031a00a6c44b84a98139fa4a8267027eae7d399a
OpenAI
polymarket · 0x6b6ad592736e78ef189b60f9f260f48b79d0d419db0aec5607bdbbc719993d3c
xAI
polymarket · 0x50247c379276c0ac09897047c91049e3caa9c29073614c73b4b2517ea07a7768
Baidu
polymarket · 0x43867a555e1145204546332375c0e1e9ac9317f30473511b244f797dd48e058c
ByteDance
polymarket · 0x5258682c16b6fd44481f36158f3ec8b134306a13a40df98eef1ede25d7fd3d57
Alibaba
polymarket · 0xd85c0bc2c3b06473d93ce9650eea8775cbc225b498ee00c37600f76667f0bbb0
Moonshot
polymarket · 0x7dfbe19edcb2d350a64703dff9dafee1377304007c9039a1fe0caee7b97883c6
DeepSeek
polymarket · 0x0cdc891eaf48347ee1ca40818754380f2ef12201485493a549944348ab93af46
Z.ai
polymarket · 0xced8bdf2c6725a8b2544658f964320d6222d2ea756148008fcdb082161f64f4f
Meituan
polymarket · 0xe6d756a0470cb074d2f2e75ad0d5f94ac8279ccfd8550912006dfa3cfbfaae30
Microsoft
polymarket · 0x2789cf78f560f0a55327db2ada3f17fd87b8526cc0e68d697d32da21974a57be
Amazon
polymarket · 0x4011d2103c68868e8317f06a0e1ab4ee9aed37a364306b68c4c8fd5f144b94e4
Mistral
polymarket · 0x50959cab732754ddae28cabb4d20075a2fb699c644a6a6ceef5c87b3c9ee3cce
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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