SimpleFunctions
PolymarketDec 31, 2026236 days left

Will Sudan make Eric Adams a citizen?

This contract is priced at 9¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 6¢ bid, 11¢ ask, 5¢ spread.

Implied probability

9¢
$0 volume
$621 liquidity
0% of event volume

Event outcomes

4

Family volume

$20

Best sibling

China 13¢

Ticker

0xb6af5851…0997

Market snapshot

Sudan in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Sudan make Eric Adams a citizen?. The displayed quote is 9¢ from the latest venue quote. In the Which countries will make Eric Adams a citizen? family, this outcome ranks #3 of 4 by current quote across 4 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC.

Outcome

Sudan

Family rank

#3 of 4

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Dec 31, 2026

Reported volume

Family context

4 outcomes · Which countries will make Eric Adams a citizen?

Quote range

8¢-13¢

Family leader

China 13¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC · 6m ago

Venue identifier: 0xb6af5851cfe8a02aeda300706f0b18ce7927fcb36d43150fcffebf3cfb5f0997. Family volume: $20.

Price history

9¢ current

25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 7, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

6 / 11¢

Polymarket
5¢ spread
BidSize
100¢1.6K
6¢50
4¢17
3¢476
2¢726
AskSize
11¢100
53¢17
54¢20
78¢133
83¢60
84¢200
88¢204
89¢603

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country makes Eric Adams a citizen by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Statements from Eric Adams indicating intent to seek citizenship from the listed country will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". Statements from the listed country or its representatives indicating vague or conditional intent to make Eric Adams a citizen will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. Only the listed country's actually making Eric Adams a citizen will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Honorary citizenship will qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve according to statements from representatives of the listed country or Eric Adams. This market may also resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Dec 31, 2026

Identifier

0xb6af5851…0997

Event family

Which countries will make Eric Adams a citizen.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$20

Outcomes

4

Highest price

China 13¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1565.4%

IY (No)

15.3%

Adj IY

1565%

CRI

10

RV

1291%

VR

3.06

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1565.4%
15.3%
Adj IY
1565%
10
RV
1291%
VR
3.06
IAR
1.2/h
Overround
-0.6%

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