Will Twice release a song in 2026?
This contract is priced at 63¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 47¢ bid, 79¢ ask, 32¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
3
Family volume
$46K
Best sibling
Itzy 100¢
Ticker
0xb120fc24…8727
Market snapshot
Twice in market context.
This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Twice release a song in 2026?. The displayed quote is 63¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $14K. In the Which KPop groups will release songs in 2026? family, this outcome ranks #2 of 3 by current quote across 3 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC.
Outcome
Twice
Family rank
#2 of 3
Venue
Polymarket
Current quote
63¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Dec 31, 2026
Reported volume
$14K
Family context
3 outcomes · Which KPop groups will release songs in 2026?
Quote range
57¢-100¢
Family leader
Itzy 100¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC · 5m ago
Venue identifier: 0xb120fc249bab46492cd6cce7d2d50e36fec9b55482da185a79bca3b88d958727. Family volume: $46K.
Price history
63¢ current
−28¢Orderbook snapshot
47 / 79¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed group officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Songs released by individual members, subgroups, or any other configuration not under the listed group name will not qualify. If a song is released jointly by multiple groups credited equally as primary artists, the song will count for all of them. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or remixes will not count. The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
0xb120fc24…8727
Event family
Which KPop groups will release songs in 2026.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$46K
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Itzy 100¢
Current share
31%
Twice
polymarket · 0xb120fc249bab46492cd6cce7d2d50e36fec9b55482da185a79bca3b88d958727
Itzy
polymarket · 0x0430bf3a2e805f2ab3345df79d5ca2432efae08bf6b561782373c0f5d6451389
NewJeans
polymarket · 0xcf30828ba7ae2d80936f5fa4c1ac1d89758aaee98783eaf10bdbaf7841d84515
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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