Maine · Which states will Donald Trump visit in 2026
Maine is priced at 49¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 17¢ bid, 81¢ ask, 64¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 16 inside Which states will Donald Trump visit in 2026?.
Price history
49¢ current
−10¢Contract brief
If U.S. President Donald Trump visits the listed state between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the listed state. Whether or not Trump enters the state’s airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump, or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g., https://twitter.com/POTUS); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Outcome
Maine
Rank
#5 of 16
Leader
California 68¢
Range
23¢-68¢
Family volume
$60K
Identifier
0x5a9adf45...ca82
Jun 17, 2026, 1:38 PM UTC · 28m ago
Implied probability
Bid
17¢
Ask
81¢
Spread
64¢
Reported volume
$32
Family rank
#5 of 16
16 outcomes · Which states will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Family volume
$60K
Orderbook snapshot
17 / 81¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If U.S. President Donald Trump visits the listed state between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the listed state. Whether or not Trump enters the state’s airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump, or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g., https://twitter.com/POTUS); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
0x5a9adf45…ca82
Event family
Which states will Donald Trump visit in 2026.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$60K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
California 68¢
Current share
0%
California
polymarket · 0x9bedf93343909c762a295fe3968147d3241de7255ddb9be13cfb1c89900739f1
Illinois
polymarket · 0xbcf57b63ecb0c09cc966552e65e30e81dec8e042cfde8ae0cab74889fdc099ca
South Carolina
polymarket · 0xa39d803072ed500c3d994b7a0e34c2a08dedcf3e1e2523827fb3d8d61eb37dbb
Idaho
polymarket · 0x5827c5375b0aa8db432d3d5696b9a6b40ae7adeba2f02aa5ee83b628e24a0269
Maine
polymarket · 0x5a9adf456eeda692a5073251fdcf65bd90744bec8f5404c57723a34d873fca82
Nebraska
polymarket · 0xad5b9d2eb0afdc9bd58f2ac878e3db5dbc55102d77744edda262ecde1ed8c9a4
New Hampshire
polymarket · 0x6170365b0760af1d5fe0293d5b41c08de1765d31cd50cc0dbf0fd5cb238950b2
Alabama
polymarket · 0xa4b15d59a245891fdc986d6b78a221555ba8f610cc09cd458d980bcb06e7ca4e
Washington
polymarket · 0x269b166c0af32fea1e62260cf1f21a6f51fcdc345c017eb55bf4c54f0122c877
West Virginia
polymarket · 0x670fa089a0c7f55b1be346c85fa1bbb3f876899bcd98e7770c2a8b02bf7f5f1d
Oregon
polymarket · 0xaa1153a9b1224e8496cb0ef929258c2acebb635a85affc2d1b7625ea21f87fa1
Kansas
polymarket · 0x1da6f8af39c46f73183ef4ebced8cfffa181b1a0699dc7e5039082038f5b2e01
Vermont
polymarket · 0xea35fa0cfef147a97653f013694568931f737fb3dbd92af4da136fd3811a988d
Wyoming
polymarket · 0x8100a2b1c285f4e567a7db182384f5040ea8a072f88897e8d79c525d66f23dac
Mississippi
polymarket · 0xb1d616bfe4f20839f7455fc96d9c58f2f867f6d619f7368bd7533b7b6bc6dd19
Hawaii
polymarket · 0xbbfe39ddbef46c69ec2511b03c64b1fb6cdaf766f4a70a1f182ad6004eff68af
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
political
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.