SimpleFunctions
PolymarketDec 31, 2026241 days left

Will Donald Trump visit Wyoming in 2026?

This contract is priced at 27¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 13¢ bid, 42¢ ask, 29¢ spread.

Implied probability

27¢
$3K volume
$503 liquidity
4% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$85K

Best sibling

Alaska 72¢

Ticker

0x8100a2b1…3dac

Price history

27¢ current

+4¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 18, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

13 / 42¢

Polymarket
29¢ spread
BidSize
13¢10
12¢40
11¢106
7¢8
6¢17
5¢68
3¢8
2¢200
AskSize
42¢15
43¢94
44¢8
73¢190
74¢346
83¢635
86¢8
90¢6

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits the listed state between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the listed state. Whether or not Trump enters the state’s airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump, or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g., https://twitter.com/POTUS); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Dec 31, 2026

Identifier

0x8100a2b1…3dac

Event family

Which states will Donald Trump visit in 2026.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$85K

Outcomes

16

Highest price

New Jersey 96¢

Current share

4%

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

Wyoming

polymarket · 0x8100a2b1c285f4e567a7db182384f5040ea8a072f88897e8d79c525d66f23dac

27¢$3K$01.1

Alaska

polymarket · 0xf72aa26303e883d64bfbb2db08e1b4717d21a0aeca14c65201bad101ea0f1829

72¢$26K$370.1

Oregon

polymarket · 0xaa1153a9b1224e8496cb0ef929258c2acebb635a85affc2d1b7625ea21f87fa1

42¢$20K$241.6

New Hampshire

polymarket · 0x6170365b0760af1d5fe0293d5b41c08de1765d31cd50cc0dbf0fd5cb238950b2

50¢$11K$00.9

Mississippi

polymarket · 0xb1d616bfe4f20839f7455fc96d9c58f2f867f6d619f7368bd7533b7b6bc6dd19

53¢$6K$00.5

South Carolina

polymarket · 0xa39d803072ed500c3d994b7a0e34c2a08dedcf3e1e2523827fb3d8d61eb37dbb

62¢$5K$100.2

Vermont

polymarket · 0xea35fa0cfef147a97653f013694568931f737fb3dbd92af4da136fd3811a988d

31¢$4K$00.7

Idaho

polymarket · 0x5827c5375b0aa8db432d3d5696b9a6b40ae7adeba2f02aa5ee83b628e24a0269

52¢$3K$00.2

Illinois

polymarket · 0xbcf57b63ecb0c09cc966552e65e30e81dec8e042cfde8ae0cab74889fdc099ca

45¢$3K$00.6

New York

polymarket · 0x154a7f7da3c6fdd1af89fb4a2f60c8243107158e9b77ddddfec061ad8b18a69e

94¢$1K$00.1

New Jersey

polymarket · 0x1ddefd397bf6ba4afaf5fedbfb22041d7b0a42393880b243f8a5652b698aac48

96¢$1K$00.0

Hawaii

polymarket · 0xbbfe39ddbef46c69ec2511b03c64b1fb6cdaf766f4a70a1f182ad6004eff68af

18¢$520$00.4

Alabama

polymarket · 0xa4b15d59a245891fdc986d6b78a221555ba8f610cc09cd458d980bcb06e7ca4e

39¢$230$01.2

Wisconsin

polymarket · 0xeb1b76a27fa9de2ac42b8abe0c564ea0766cf47b95c5d522bc760e4a50e11ef6

73¢$208$00.4

California

polymarket · 0x9bedf93343909c762a295fe3968147d3241de7255ddb9be13cfb1c89900739f1

68¢$205$00.1

Nebraska

polymarket · 0xad5b9d2eb0afdc9bd58f2ac878e3db5dbc55102d77744edda262ecde1ed8c9a4

38¢$102$01.1

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

408.8%

IY (No)

55.9%

Adj IY

0%

CRI

3

Overround

17.2%

LAS

1.15

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

408.8%
55.9%
Adj IY
0%
3
Overround
17.2%
LAS
1.15

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