Texas · Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms
Texas is priced at 93¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 92¢ bid, 94¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 16 inside Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?.
Price history
93¢ current
Contract brief
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is: - Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority; - Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and - In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections. If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Outcome
Texas
Rank
#4 of 16
Leader
North Carolina 97¢
Range
3¢-97¢
Family volume
$255K
Identifier
0x964b5ec1...505f
May 28, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC · 5m ago
Implied probability
Bid
92¢
Ask
94¢
Spread
2¢
Reported volume
$7K
Family rank
#4 of 16
16 outcomes · Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
Closes
Nov 3, 2026
Family volume
$255K
Orderbook snapshot
92 / 94¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is: - Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority; - Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and - In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections. If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Nov 3, 2026
Identifier
0x964b5ec1…505f
Event family
Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$255K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
North Carolina 97¢
Current share
3%
North Carolina
polymarket · 0x295eb7d154a7093980ed8d504f15c60167e413d267e2c51d67e593b7af1e36fd
California
polymarket · 0xbd71ab4221850cb70e4d5c7e2492bcdffb4913e31f9eda8ee8f7a8e5f139f762
Ohio
polymarket · 0x96ca8e2047e18c213fed61aed476d2d20bd7b3a59252eae45333ea913eb872db
Texas
polymarket · 0x964b5ec10d056ee0a31cd3d539205eb02aded7316941967ba17612719c30505f
Louisiana
polymarket · 0xc41817045cf6d55bb1d8f3d5b823d99f7c3abac36ccd44a321583d02eec1955a
Utah
polymarket · 0x3e9c5667a2011051b38a7f10d1c993197a7f1c4bab0d24a42634eda6daa93935
Alabama
polymarket · 0xa4c7f4f2df1cb17bb8c35038fde8611d9a5924b4c36d50e5a799571e58012d20
Maryland
polymarket · 0x7bbeb4fd463b7fbde581d66ed2b091130868a39aa7ebe8a394cd209c33ba1896
New York
polymarket · 0xfdc5d89d547da9e800a5def2aa8f442ba3cd2d7d846019f832c15c792ed85339
South Carolina
polymarket · 0x04f0b7ffa9ac319b7ad307182641f96ebb97c3db87158aaff04dadf4126912b0
Indiana
polymarket · 0x4596d8baac5b5edc36f14d24560bdc19e16263658d930d5598a6b10fcfda3b78
Virginia
polymarket · 0x4a4ed8429dd530b4196d1b5827e2666e768d88e373b2d1f9ff80888299fbc85e
Wisconsin
polymarket · 0xdd6a68f1a02ac70ba36a19d9a465409dc93e322c16b1d71e662fe060c26d1c60
Illinois
polymarket · 0xff4699605ed7cf8ce4c5bde7e10dbfe0e6a170a44ff40be75656b894645f9f73
Nebraska
polymarket · 0xe369429d00089f7022aa1b27414ca7bd51f2e8ad25361a5deaf64da96837c801
Minnesota
polymarket · 0x66a685c506a9a6917f29d11dee79cb02447b7119f3ea19a7c983f45f88f8fc63
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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