Who will advance from the 2026 CA-04 primary?
This contract is priced at 89¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 88¢ bid, 98¢ ask, 10¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
5
Family volume
$6
Best sibling
Eric Jones 93¢
Ticker
KXCA04PRIMARY-26-MTHO
Market snapshot
Mike Thompson in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Who will advance from the 2026 CA-04 primary?. The displayed quote is 89¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $11K. In the Who will advance from the 2026 CA-04 primary family, this outcome ranks #2 of 5 by current quote across 5 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 4:08 AM UTC.
Outcome
Mike Thompson
Family rank
#2 of 5
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
89¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Nov 3, 2027
Reported volume
$11K
Family context
5 outcomes · Who will advance from the 2026 CA-04 primary
Quote range
1¢-93¢
Family leader
Eric Jones 93¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 4:08 AM UTC · 15m ago
Venue identifier: KXCA04PRIMARY-26-MTHO. Family volume: $6.
Price history
89¢ current
−1¢Orderbook snapshot
88 / 98¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If Mike Thompson advances in the 2026 CA-04 primary in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Identifier
KXCA04PRIMARY-26-MTHO
Event family
Who will advance from the 2026 CA-04 primary.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$6
Outcomes
5
Highest price
Eric Jones 93¢
Current share
0%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 89% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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