Who will dissent at the June 2026 FOMC meeting
Who will dissent at the June 2026 FOMC meeting is priced at 7¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 7¢ bid, 8¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
7¢ current
−3¢Contract brief
If Lisa Cook formally dissented at the June 2026 FOMC meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Who will dissent at the June 2026 FOMC meeting
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$6K
Identifier
KXFEDDISSENT-26JUN-LISA
Jun 17, 2026, 2:50 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
7¢
Ask
8¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$163
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Jun 17, 2026
Family volume
$6K
Orderbook snapshot
7 / 8¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Lisa Cook formally dissented at the June 2026 FOMC meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 17, 2026
Identifier
KXFEDDISSENT-26JUN-LISA
Event family
This market.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$6K
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Who will dissent at the June 2026 FOMC meeting 7¢
Current share
100%
Who will dissent at the June 2026 FOMC meeting
kalshi · KXFEDDISSENT-26JUN-LISA
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Observability
high
Event type
political
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
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Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.