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Logan Sandoval in Chopped Castaways

Logan Sandoval is priced at 5¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 3¢ bid, 6¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 12 inside Who will win Chopped Castaways?.

Price history

5¢ current

+2¢
0¢10¢
May 24, 2026May 29, 2026

Contract brief

This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Chopped Castaways Season 1, scheduled to premiere May 12, 2026. If Chopped Castaways Season 1 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Chopped Castaways Season 1 has otherwise not concluded by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Chopped Castaways Season 1.

Outcome

Logan Sandoval

Rank

#5 of 12

Leader

Jean-Paul Bourgeois 70¢

Range

2¢-70¢

Family volume

$1K

Identifier

0xe5edebb0...42e8

May 29, 2026, 11:08 PM UTC · 30m ago

Implied probability

5¢
Latest venue quote
May 29, 2026, 11:08 PM UTC · 30m ago

Bid

Ask

Spread

Reported volume

$103

Family rank

#5 of 12

12 outcomes · Who will win Chopped Castaways?

Closes

Jul 31, 2026

Family volume

$1K

Orderbook snapshot

3 / 6¢

Polymarket
3¢ spread
BidSize
100¢10
3¢37
3¢20
0¢1.3K
0¢75
AskSize
6¢46
9¢31
9¢100
16¢10
84¢107
84¢12
84¢9
84¢225

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Chopped Castaways Season 1, scheduled to premiere May 12, 2026. If Chopped Castaways Season 1 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Chopped Castaways Season 1 has otherwise not concluded by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Chopped Castaways Season 1.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jul 31, 2026

Identifier

0xe5edebb0…42e8

SF Signal
SF Index
11178.99
Regime
neutral

Cross-venue match

Similar contract on kalshi at .

View counterpart

Event family

Who will win Chopped Castaways.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$1K

Outcomes

12

Highest price

Jean-Paul Bourgeois 70¢

Current share

7%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

11179.0%

IY (No)

31.0%

Adj IY

11179%

CRI

19

RV

6993%

VR

6.72

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

11179.0%
31.0%
Adj IY
11179%
19
RV
6993%
VR
6.72
IAR
2.4/h
Overround
0.3%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.