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Paulette Tejada in Chopped Castaways

Paulette Tejada is priced at 6¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 5¢ bid, 11¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 12 inside Who will win Chopped Castaways?.

Price history

6¢ current

+3¢
0¢10¢
May 24, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Chopped Castaways Season 1, scheduled to premiere May 12, 2026. If Chopped Castaways Season 1 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Chopped Castaways Season 1 has otherwise not concluded by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Chopped Castaways Season 1.

Outcome

Paulette Tejada

Rank

#3 of 12

Leader

Jean-Paul Bourgeois 67¢

Range

2¢-67¢

Family volume

$1K

Identifier

0x001508d9...98b4

May 28, 2026, 10:38 PM UTC · 1m ago

Implied probability

6¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 10:38 PM UTC · 1m ago

Bid

Ask

11¢

Spread

24h volume

$42

Family rank

#3 of 12

12 outcomes · Who will win Chopped Castaways?

Closes

Jul 31, 2026

Family volume

$1K

Orderbook snapshot

5 / 11¢

Polymarket
6¢ spread
BidSize
100¢69
100¢37
5¢20
3¢100
0¢1.1K
AskSize
11¢10
11¢31
12¢42
90¢20
90¢225
90¢40
93¢85
95¢20

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Chopped Castaways Season 1, scheduled to premiere May 12, 2026. If Chopped Castaways Season 1 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Chopped Castaways Season 1 has otherwise not concluded by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Chopped Castaways Season 1.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jul 31, 2026

Identifier

0x001508d9…98b4

SF Signal
SF Index
5852.73
Regime
neutral

Cross-venue match

Similar contract on kalshi at , -3¢ versus this page.

View counterpart

Event family

Who will win Chopped Castaways.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$1K

Outcomes

12

Highest price

Jean-Paul Bourgeois 67¢

Current share

9%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

5852.7%

IY (No)

57.2%

Adj IY

5853%

CRI

10

RV

4241%

VR

3.56

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

5852.7%
57.2%
Adj IY
5853%
10
RV
4241%
VR
3.56
IAR
2.4/h
Overround
0.2%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.