Who will win the governorship in Alaska?
This contract is priced at 9¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 11¢ bid, 12¢ ask, 1¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
11
Family volume
$104
Best sibling
Click Bishop 8¢
Ticker
KXGOVAK-26-TTAY
Market snapshot
Treg Taylor in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Who will win the governorship in Alaska?. The displayed quote is 9¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $12K. In the Who will win the governorship in Alaska family, this outcome ranks #3 of 11 by current quote across 11 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 13, 2026, 4:53 PM UTC.
Outcome
Treg Taylor
Family rank
#3 of 11
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
9¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Nov 3, 2027
Reported volume
$12K
Family context
11 outcomes · Who will win the governorship in Alaska
Quote range
1¢-36¢
Family leader
Tom Begich 36¢
Last updated
May 13, 2026, 4:53 PM UTC · 9m ago
Venue identifier: KXGOVAK-26-TTAY. Family volume: $104.
Price history
9¢ current
−8¢Orderbook snapshot
11 / 12¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If Treg Taylor is sworn in as the governor of Alaska pursuant to the election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Identifier
KXGOVAK-26-TTAY
Event family
Who will win the governorship in Alaska.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$104
Outcomes
11
Highest price
Tom Begich 36¢
Current share
0%
Treg Taylor
kalshi · KXGOVAK-26-TTAY
Click Bishop
kalshi · KXGOVAK-26-CBIS
Tom Begich
kalshi · KXGOVAK-26-TBEG
Nancy Dahlstrom
kalshi · KXGOVAK-26-NDAH
Bernadette Wilson
kalshi · KXGOVAK-26-BWIL
Dave Bronson
kalshi · KXGOVAK-26-DBRO
Shelley Hughes
kalshi · KXGOVAK-26-SHUG
Matt Heilala
kalshi · KXGOVAK-26-MHEI
Matthew Claman
kalshi · KXGOVAK-26-MCLA
Adam Crum
kalshi · KXGOVAK-26-ACRU
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
kalshi · KXGOVAK-26-JKRE
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
political
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
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Event Probability API
Read 9% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
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Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.