SimpleFunctions
KalshiAug 21, 2028835 days left

Who will win the next Spanish general election?

This contract is priced at 23¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 17¢ bid, 22¢ ask, 5¢ spread.

Implied probability

23¢
$595 volume
$468 liquidity

Event outcomes

3

Family volume

$0

Best sibling

People's Party 73¢

Ticker

KXSPAINPARLI-27-PSOE

Market snapshot

Spanish Socialist Workers' Party in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Who will win the next Spanish general election?. The displayed quote is 23¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $595. In the Who will win the next Spanish general election family, this outcome ranks #2 of 3 by current quote across 3 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC.

Outcome

Spanish Socialist Workers' Party

Family rank

#2 of 3

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

23¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Aug 21, 2028

Reported volume

$595

Family context

3 outcomes · Who will win the next Spanish general election

Quote range

3¢-73¢

Family leader

People's Party 73¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC · 11m ago

Venue identifier: KXSPAINPARLI-27-PSOE. Family volume: .

Price history

23¢ current

+7¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 15, 2026Apr 15, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

17 / 22¢

Kalshi
5¢ spread
BidSize
17¢500
16¢20
10¢50
3¢1.0K
3¢35
AskSize
22¢5
23¢500
24¢95
67¢55
68¢872

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If the winner of the next Spanish general election in 2027 is Spanish Socialist Workers' Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 21, 2028

Identifier

KXSPAINPARLI-27-PSOE

Event family

Who will win the next Spanish general election.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$0

Outcomes

3

Highest price

People's Party 73¢

Current share

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

213.3%

IY (No)

9.0%

Adj IY

75%

CRI

5

Overround

-0.1%

LAS

0.29

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

213.3%
9.0%
Adj IY
75%
5
Overround
-0.1%
LAS
0.29

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